时间:2025-10-08 04:15:56 来源:网络整理编辑:休閑
Global sea level rise is accelerating as the Greenland Ice Sheet sheds more of its ice, scientists h
Global sea level rise is accelerating as the Greenland Ice Sheet sheds more of its ice, scientists have found.
Given this quickening pace, it's possible that by the end of this century, sea level rise could threaten coastal communities around the world, from Miami to Mumbai.
A new study, published Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change, is one of a few recent works to confirm an acceleration in sea level rise during the past few decades. There had been greater uncertainty about this before, with climate deniers latching onto that and arguing that such an acceleration has not, in fact, been occurring.
SEE ALSO:Trump to mayor of sinking island: Don't worry about sea level riseHowever, by using calculations of the various contributing factors to sea level rise, such as melting ice sheets, water expansion that occurs as the oceans warm, and other factors, researchers from institutions in China, Australia, and the U.S. found that global mean sea level increased from about 2.2 millimeters per year in 1993 to 3.3 millimeters per year in 2014.
While that may seem tiny, the numbers add up quickly. These rate changes are the difference between a decadal sea level rise rate of 0.86 inches and 1.29 inches, with greater acceleration expected in the future.
The findings also made clear how major contributors to sea level rise have been changing over time. And it doesn't paint a pretty picture.
Whereas global ice mass loss constituted 50 percent of sea level rise in 1993, this rose to 70 percent in 2014. The study found that the largest increase came from the Greenland Ice Sheet, which made up just 5 percent of the global mean sea level rise rate in 1993, and now constitutes 25 percent of it.
Given scientists' concerns about Antarctica's stability, look for melting glaciers to comprise an even greater share of the sea level rise budget in the near future.
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
A different study published in early June found the rate of sea level rise just about tripled between 1990 and 2012.
A study published in 2016 found that if global warming continues above 2 degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, above preindustrial levels through 2100, then sea levels would end up rising faster than at any time during human civilization. That study found that in a warming scenario of 5 degrees Celsius, or 9 degrees Fahrenheit, which is roughly the path we’re on now, New York City could see more than a meter, or about 3.6 feet, of sea level rise with an even higher upper limit. This would make a Hurricane Sandy-sized storm surge far more common in the city.
A separate study published in February found that current rates of sea level rise are likely unprecedented in at least the past 2,800 years.
This week's findings are in line with NASA's estimate for the current rate of sea level rise, which is 3.4 millimeters per year.
The significance of the new study is that it resolves lingering uncertainties about mismatches between what scientists know about contributors to sea level rise, and measured rates from satellites. This study, along with other recent work, shows the two match up closely, and it nails down the sea level rise acceleration.
Also, the new research shows that coastal communities that are already struggling with increased flooding on an annual basis, such as Miami Beach, will have to cope with a rapidly worsening situation in coming decades.
For every millimeter that the local sea level rises, the easier it becomes for the ocean to hit previously unheard of flood levels. Storm surges ride on top of background sea levels, and like a basketball player playing on a court with a steadily rising floor, even weaker storms are becoming more likely to score a slam dunk.
Watch MTV's Video Music Awards 2016 livestream2025-10-08 03:39
張玉寧:在家鄉參加亞運會是無上榮耀 U23國家隊跑動要求多2025-10-08 03:35
意媒 :多納魯馬回米蘭絕無可能 球迷不想再見到他2025-10-08 03:05
韓媒:希丁克下月將訪問韓國 紀念2002韓日世界杯20周年2025-10-08 02:52
Man stumbles upon his phone background in real life2025-10-08 02:43
曝梅州場地初檢未達標或不承辦中超 聯賽可能無限延期2025-10-08 02:40
津門虎或與維基諾維奇解約 夏窗再引進新外援2025-10-08 02:27
西亞記者發文炮轟:亞足聯應將所有中國球隊踢出本屆亞冠2025-10-08 02:18
Fake news reports from the Newseum are infinitely better than actual news2025-10-08 02:17
曝張玉寧吳曦張琳芃3名超齡球員或將增援U23國足2025-10-08 01:46
Wikipedia co2025-10-08 04:06
檢驗實力!韓媒 :日韓將在6月份與巴西隊進行熱身賽2025-10-08 03:43
克洛普 :生活中有很多事比足球重要 如本場第7分鍾2025-10-08 03:19
揭秘中乙現狀 :試訓一次5000通過了才能返回2025-10-08 03:10
Watch MTV's Video Music Awards 2016 livestream2025-10-08 02:46
國米完勝米蘭11年後再入決賽 鼓足馬力衝刺三冠王2025-10-08 02:02
朗尼克:尷尬失望甚至是恥辱 利物浦要領先曼聯6年2025-10-08 01:46
馬來西亞媒體:中超兩隊實力與亞冠不匹配 已是昨日黃花2025-10-08 01:41
Singapore rolls out video2025-10-08 01:40
曼聯官方:C羅因喪子之痛缺席雙紅會 家庭比一切都重要2025-10-08 01:36