时间:2026-05-23 14:40:44 来源:网络整理编辑:休閑
The Atlantic Ocean is currently hurricane fuel. Thanks to, among other factors, unusually warm sea s
The Atlantic Ocean is currently hurricane fuel.
Thanks to, among other factors, unusually warm sea surface temperatures, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) now expects "an extremely active" Atlantic hurricane season, bumped up from the agency's earlier prediction of "above normal" activity. In an announcement Thursday, NOAA said this storm prediction is "one of the most active seasonal forecasts that NOAA has produced in its 22-year history of hurricane outlooks."
Already, the 2020 season has broken numerous records for the number of storms formed by this time of year. Now, the most active time of year is just around the corner, as most hurricanes form from about mid-August through late October.
Critically, more storms amp the odds of hurricanes striking land.

"In general, more active hurricane seasons have more landing hurricanes," Philip Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher at Colorado State University, told Mashable in late April.
Colorado State's updated storm outlook is similar to NOAA's, but expects a little bit more activity. The university predicts 12 hurricanes and five major hurricanes (111 mph winds or higher), whereas NOAA expects between seven and 11 hurricanes, three to six of which could be major storms.
"This year, we expect more, stronger, and longer-lived storms than average, and our predicted ACE [Accumulated Cyclone Energy] range extends well above NOAA’s threshold for an extremely active season," NOAA’s lead seasonal hurricane forecaster, Gerry Bell, said in a statement. ACE is the measure of a season's total storm activity.
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
The big contributors to the extremely active season are:
Warmer than usual ocean temperatures. "Ocean temperatures in the Atlantic are running much warmer than normal," Brian Tang, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Albany, told Mashable in July. Warmer oceans fuel tropical storms as more water naturally evaporates into the air, giving storms energy and moisture to intensify. Overall, global oceans are absorbing nearly unfathomable amounts of heat as they soak up over 90 percent of the warmth created by human-caused climate change. (The ocean's surface has warmed by nearly 2 degrees Fahrenheit, or 1 degree Celsius, since 1900.)
What's more, the Atlantic Ocean has also naturally been in a warmer phase since around 1995, something called the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. This added warmth creates more ideal conditions for hurricanes to form.
Hurricane scientists don't expect strong east-driving winds blowing through the Caribbean this year. These winds pummel hurricanes (called "wind shear"). "It shears or tears apart storms," Klotzbach told Mashable.
A strong West African monsoon season is likely this year. Most powerful Atlantic hurricanes are seeded by unstable air and thunderstorms traveling west from Africa. More clouds and storm activity in West Africa are linked to favorable conditions for hurricanes.
A number of potent hurricane ingredients, then, have combined in 2020. Importantly, when thunderstorms do start journeying over the part of the Atlantic where most hurricanes form (called the Atlantic Main Development Region), they'll get a boost from well-above average ocean temperatures. This area is about 1 degree Fahrenheit warmer than usual — which is a big change for the oceans.
"That extra degree makes it more likely the thunderstorms will survive going across the Atlantic," Chris Slocum, a research meteorologist at the NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, told Mashable in July.
In Earth's warmer future over the coming decades and beyond, hurricane researchers don't expect more hurricanes overall. However, they expect hurricanes to grow more intense, meaning higher wind speeds and more damaging and dangerous storms.
"We think there will be an uptick in the most intense storms," said the University of Albany's Tang.
This German startup wants to be your bank (without being a bank)2026-05-23 14:00
官方 :巴薩中場莫裏巴加盟萊比錫 轉會費2200萬歐2026-05-23 13:54
前武漢外援中衛加盟西乙隊獲官宣 在華效力88場進11球2026-05-23 13:50
曼聯集郵葡萄牙球星已成癮 再挖角一大腿現前兆2026-05-23 13:20
Chinese gymnastics team horrifies crowd with human jump rope2026-05-23 13:15
曝孔蒂已找到新工作 擔任意天空體育歐冠解說嘉賓2026-05-23 12:55
博格巴歡迎C羅 :他早就是傳奇 會再提升曼聯水準2026-05-23 12:47
殘奧會中國盲人足球隊22026-05-23 12:16
Richard Branson 'thought he was going to die' in bike accident2026-05-23 12:16
法媒:皇馬代表在巴黎已退出姆巴佩談判 或明夏免簽2026-05-23 12:15
Richard Branson 'thought he was going to die' in bike accident2026-05-23 14:40
中澳三線PK:國足整體有差距 中前場唯有一搏2026-05-23 14:39
國足9人將無緣報名首戰袋鼠 13人親曆上屆12強賽出局2026-05-23 14:11
阿蘭傷情無礙首輪登場 郭田雨王秋明出場機會不大2026-05-23 14:10
One of the most controversial power struggles in media comes to a close2026-05-23 14:02
曼聯秀弗爵C羅合影:孩子 告訴全世界這就是你家2026-05-23 13:29
曝拜仁欲效仿去年再炫壓哨簽 正醞釀大手筆轉會2026-05-23 13:00
轉會截止日匯總:姆巴佩留守巴黎 薩烏爾加盟藍軍2026-05-23 12:36
Ivanka Trump's unpaid interns share cringeworthy financial advice2026-05-23 12:21
亞洲過去十年引援開銷TOP10:中超占8席並包攬前4 恒大居首2026-05-23 12:16